Rawan sadi k akhir tk almi abadi mai 1.5 arab ki kami matwaqa
Rawan sadi k akhir tk almi abadi mai 1.5 arab ki kami matwaqa, scienci mahireen ke mutabiq zameen par maholiyati tabdeelion ki barri wajah insani abadi mein bohat ziyada izafah nahi balkay insanon ko dastyab wasail ka bohat taiz raftaar aur be dardi se istemaal hai. is ka aik nateeja yeh bhi samnay aa chuka hai ke aaj insanon ki fi kis ost Umar bohat barh gayi hai, zameen par insani abadi mein borhoon ka tanasub kaafi ziyada ho chuka hai aur fi kis ost sharah afzaish bhi kam ho rahi hai .
abadi se mutaliqa umoor kay kayi mahireen ke mutabiq rawan sadi ke aakhir yani sun 2100 hamza tak duniya ke har malik ki abadi kam hona shuru ho chuki ho gi. yeh baat un mahireen ne scienci jareeday mein shaya honay wali aik nai bain al aqwami tehqeeq ke nataij ka tajzia karte huay likhi hai .
zameen par insani abadi ki intahaa aaj se chaar ashray baad
yeh reserch sehat se mutaliq adaad o shumaar aur un ke tajziye ke idaray ihme ne mukammal karwai. is tehqeeq se akhaz kardah nataij ke mutabiq agli sirf chaar dahaiyo mein ( yani 2060 hamza tak ) zameen par insanon ki majmoi abadi 9. 7 billion ho jaye gi. is ke baad duniya ki abadi mein kami ka aisa silsila shuru ho ga, jis ke nateejay mein 2100 hamza tak yeh abadi kam ho kar 8. 8 billion reh jaye gi .
lekin mustaqbil ka yeh aalmi rujhan agar ab tak ki tawaquaat se ziyada taiz raha, to yeh bhi mumkin hai ke mojooda sadi ke aakhir tak zameen par insani abadi mein majmoi tor par 1. 5 billion ki kami dekhnay mein aaye .
Japan aur spain ki abadi nisf reh jaye gi
is tehqeeq ka aik aur ahem pehlu yeh bhi hai ke aindah 80 barson mein mashriq baeed mein Japan aur Europe mein spain jaisay mumalik ki abadi kam ho kar aadhi reh jaye gi. is ke ilawa duniya mein abadi ke lehaaz se sab se barray malik chain ki abadi mein bhi wazeh tor par kami ho gi .
Rawan sadi k akhir tk almi abadi mai 1.5 arab ki kami matwaqa, is amal ka taqreeban yakeeni tor par nateeja yeh niklay ga ke janoobi asia mein Bharat duniya mein abadi ke lehaaz se sab se bara malik ban jaye ga aur Africa mein naijeria ka shumaar bhi duniya mein sab se ziyada abadi walay mumalik mein honay lagey ga .
Sabhi muashray badal jayen ge
is reserch ke mutabiq mustaqbil mein sirf 12 mumalik aisay hon ge, jahan bachon ki sharah paidaiesh itni ziyada ho gi ke un ki majmoi qaumi abadi mein koi wazeh farq nahi parre ga. un mumalik mein somalia aur janoobi soudan bhi shaamil hon ge .
mahireen ne is tehqeeq ke nataij ka tajzia karte huay likha hai ke 22 win sadi ke aaghaz par aalmi abadi mein itni ziyada aur daur ras tabdeelian aa chuki hon gi ke tab taqreeban sabhi muashray badal chuke hon ge .
Bohat se ahem sawal
lekin is pehlu se jurey kayi sawal aisay bhi hain, jin ke jawabaat talaash karna abhi baqi hain. maslatib bohat Umar Raseedah insanon ki tibbi dekh bhaal ke akhrajaat kon uthaye ga? kya tab aisay buzurag insanon ke aabadi mumalik ki hakoomaten aisa karne ke qabil hon gi? kya tab taraqqi Yafta mumalik taraqqi Pazeer reyaston se –apne haan nojawan tarkin watan ki aamad ko roknay mein kamyaab ho saken ge? aur kya mustaqbil mein bhi insaan burhapay ki wajah se amli zindagi se retire hon ge ya yeh sab kuch bhi badal jaye ga ?
aayi each am e ke mahireen ke mutabiq aalmi abadi mein kami ka rujhan 2064 hamza mein shuru ho ga, jo batadreej taiz raftaar hota hwa 2100 hamza tak bohat ziyada ho jaye ga .
